Tesla and SpaceX merger possible before 2028, Kalshi reports 60% probability

https://www.space.com/spacex-nasa-astronaut-launch-most-amazing-photos.html A recent update from Kalshi suggests that there is a 60% probability of a merger between Tesla Inc. and SpaceX occurring before 2028. This development comes amid ongoing speculation about a potential tie-up between the two companies, which are both led by Elon Musk. Despite the lack of an official announcement, market participants appear to maintain interest in the possibility of a merger, with Kalshi’s previous updates showing fluctuating probabilities in recent weeks. Analysts have linked any potential merger to SpaceX’s upcoming IPO process, although no definitive plans have been confirmed by either company. Key Takeaways Kalshi’s update suggests a 60% probability for a Tesla–SpaceX merger before 2028, reinforcing ongoing speculation. Market activity reflects continued interest in a potential merger, although official confirmation remains absent. The merger speculation is partly tied to SpaceX’s anticipated IPO process, adding complexity to the market’s outlook. What to Watch Watch for any formal announcements from Tesla or SpaceX regarding merger discussions, as these would likely influence market prici...