Historical Trap Ahead? This Early November Event Could Derail Bitcoin’s Rally

"As Q4 begins, seasonality suggests investors should be prepared for volatility," Martinez claimed. The primary cryptocurrency has been in a clear uptrend since July, rising 42% over the past three months. Many analysts have flipped bullish, believing the bear market is over and projecting a pump toward a new all-time high during the next cycle. However, the US midterms in November may divert BTC from its potential bullish path and trigger a substantial correction. Here’s why. BTC Dump? The 2026 US midterm elections will take place on November 3, halfway through the president’s term, when voters elect all House members and about one-third of the Senate. This matters because they can change which party controls Congress, affecting Donald Trump’s ability to pass laws and shape national policy. According to popular analyst Ali Martinez, the voting may negatively impact BTC, citing historical data. He noted that after the 2010, 2014, 2018, and 2022 elections, the cryptocurrency’s price fell 72%, 65%, 52%, and 27%, respectively. “That does not prove elections caused the declines, but the pattern is worth watching ahead of November 3, 2026,” he said. Martinez said the fourth-quarter data...