XRP Price Prediction: XRP might crash to $1 if the Cryptos do this...

XRP Price Slides as Market Pressure Intensifies

The XRP price is under renewed pressure as the broader crypto market turns risk-off. After reclaiming the $1 level in late 2024 for the first time in years, XRP is now correcting sharply, raising a critical question for traders and investors: will XRP hold above $1, or is a deeper retracement ahead?

By TradingView - XRPUSD_2026-02-04 (1Y)

At the time of writing, XRP trades near $1.50, down significantly from recent highs and underperforming during the latest market-wide drawdown led by Bitcoin.

XRP Technical Analysis: Trend Weakens but Structure Holds

From a technical perspective, XRP is clearly in a short-term downtrend:

• Lower highs and lower lows dominate the daily chart
• Momentum remains bearish
• RSI on lower timeframes is deeply oversold, signalling exhaustion rather than acceleration

However, despite the weakness, XRP has not yet broken its most important structural level.

Key Support Levels

• $1.40–$1.35: First demand zone
• $1.20–$1.10: Strong historical reaction area
• $1.00: Major psychological and structural support

A sustained break below $1 would mark a failed breakout, but for now, XRP remains above this critical zone.

Why the $1 Level Is Crucial for XRP

The $1 level is not just psychological — it is structural.

1. XRP spent multiple years below $1
2. The late-2024 breakout marked a regime shift
3. Retesting breakout zones is common after strong rallies

If XRP holds above $1, the move looks like a healthy macro correction.
If it loses $1 decisively, it would signal broader crypto market capitulation, not an XRP-only issue.

By TradingView - XRPUSD_2026-02-04 (5Y)

XRP Market Cap and Supply Context

XRP fundamentals add important context to the price action:

• Market capitalization: ~$92.5B
• Circulating supply: ~60.85B XRP
• Max supply: 100B XRP
• 24h trading volume: ~$4.4B

At $1, XRP would still command a market cap near $60B, placing it firmly among the largest crypto assets. This makes a prolonged move below $1 capital-intensive and unlikely without a systemic market shock.

Importantly, XRP does not face sudden unlock risks, and its remaining supply distribution is well known and gradual — reducing dilution uncertainty.

XRP Price Prediction: Will XRP Drop Back to Pre-$1 Levels?

Base Case

XRP consolidates between $1.20 and $1.80, stabilising as broader market volatility cools.

Bear Case

A brief wick below $1.00 during a market flush, followed by a fast recovery.

Deep Bear Scenario

A sustained breakdown below $1 would likely require:

1. Bitcoin losing a major macro support
2. A global liquidity shock
3. Or a Ripple-specific regulatory setback

At present, none of these conditions are confirmed.

XRP Outlook: Correction, Not Collapse

Despite the current weakness, XRP’s structure suggests a post-breakout correction, not a full trend failure. The market is digesting macro uncertainty, leverage flushes, and shifting liquidity — conditions that often test, but do not immediately destroy, major support levels.

As long as XRP holds above $1, the broader bullish structure from late 2024 remains intact.

By TradingView - XRPUSD_2026-02-04 (All)

Final Take

XRP is under pressure, but the $1 level remains the line that matters. A move toward it is possible; a sustained breakdown below it would require a broader crypto market breakdown.

$XRP, $BTC