At the United Nations, U.S. President Donald Trump urged global unity in applying pressure on Iran, asserting that the United States would negotiate a deal with Iran following the upcoming election. This statement comes amidst ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran concerning Iran’s nuclear and military programs. The call for unity is set against a backdrop of U.S.-led sanctions under “Operation Economic Outcast,” with existing military engagements and stalled diplomatic efforts further complicating the situation. The market for a potential U.S.-Iran deal in 2026 appears to have responded to Trump’s remarks, with current pricing indicating an 18.5% likelihood of Iran Reconstruction Funding being included in such a deal. This reflects a slight increase from the previous day’s 15% probability. Pricing suggests participants interpret Trump’s comments as supportive of future diplomatic engagement, although the complex geopolitical climate and ongoing military tensions remain significant factors. Other active sub-markets related to potential U.S.-Iran agreements in 2026 show mixed movements, with probabilities ranging from 4% to 18.5%. The ongoing developments and Trump’s latest com...
Trump urges global unity on Iran, hints at post-election deal negotiations
2 days ago
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