Trump hopeful US-Iran conflict nearing end despite unresolved issues

In a recent statement, former President Donald Trump expressed optimism that the United States is nearing the end of its conflict with Iran. The statement comes amid a protracted engagement that began with strikes in February 2026, involving both the U.S. and Israel against Iran. Despite Trump’s hopeful rhetoric, the situation is far from resolved, with core issues like Iran’s nuclear program and regional stability still unsettled. The ongoing conflict has been described as a stalemate by sources such as Reuters and the Council on Foreign Relations, with continued potential for escalation. Key Takeaways Trump’s statement suggests a potential shift towards peace, reflected in market sentiment with a slight increase in optimism for a US-Iran deal in 2026. Current market pricing for a US-Iran deal in 2026 shows a marginal increase in YES outcomes, indicating some support for the prospect of negotiations leading to a resolution. Despite the optimistic rhetoric, market pricing remains cautious, with significant barriers to a resolution still present, such as unresolved nuclear program issues and regional tensions. What to Watch Observers should monitor any official announcements or deve...