South Carolina GOP primary tests Trump’s endorsement power August 11

https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/south-carolina-primary-02-24-24/index.html The upcoming special Republican primary in South Carolina, set for August 11, 2026, is drawing significant attention as it serves as a critical gauge of the influence of a Donald Trump endorsement. This snap primary follows the death of Senator Lindsey Graham, who passed away after securing the GOP nomination in June. Governor Henry McMaster has appointed Darline Graham Nordone as a temporary replacement until early 2027. Among the contenders for the Republican nomination are U.S. Representatives Nancy Mace and Ralph Norman, with the latter’s chances potentially impacted by Trump’s political backing. Market pricing suggests that Trump’s endorsement could play a pivotal role in determining the outcome of this primary. Key Takeaways Market pricing suggests that Trump’s endorsement may significantly impact Ralph Norman’s chances in the South Carolina special primary. Darline Graham Nordone, currently appointed to the Senate seat, is the leading candidate with a 74% YES market pricing. The market reflects a 21% YES probability for Ralph Norman’s nomination, a notable rise from 8% a week ago. What to Watch...