Polymarket Midterms: How the Odds Called the Senate, and the One Upset They Missed

The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry a high degree of risk. Always conduct your own research.Polymarket had Democrats ahead hours before the networks called the House and Senate. We compared the odds before the polls closed with the results, race by race.Add as a preferred source on GoogleFollow on Google NewsPolymarket called the 2026 midterms mostly right, and it got there hours before the networks. An hour before the first polls closed, the market gave Democrats a 73.5 percent chance of winning both chambers. NBC News called the House at 04:08 CET and the Senate at 05:26 CET on Wednesday. In the nine Senate races with a Polymarket market that had been called by 05:30 CET, the favourite won eight. The big miss was South Carolina, where Annie Andrews stood at just 30.5 percent. Polymarket and the midterms: the key facts Both chambers: 73.5 percent for a Democratic sweep at 23:00 CET on 3 November, 98.7 percent at 03:00 CET.Senate races: eight of the nine races called by 05:30 CET went to the favourite, and more have been decided since.Biggest miss: South Carolina, Darl...