Israeli intel studied Iran’s Fordow site, supports US strike: Cohen

Former Mossad Chief Yossi Cohen revealed that Israeli intelligence extensively studied Iran’s Fordow nuclear facility, emphasizing the depth of Israel’s understanding of the site. Cohen also expressed support for the U.S. military action that targeted Fordow in June 2025. The Fordow site, known for its fortified underground construction, was a key target in the U.S. strikes, which marked a significant escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict. These developments coincide with a noticeable shift in prediction markets regarding the likelihood of a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal being achieved in 2026. Recent market data indicates a decline in the probability of a US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding, with odds falling to 18.5% from 22% over the past 24 hours. This downturn appears consistent with increased military tensions, as underscored by Cohen’s statements, which could hinder diplomatic efforts. Moreover, broader geopolitical implications of such military actions may further complicate negotiations, as suggested by related prediction markets. The market for the U.S. obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by the end of the year also reflects a low probability, at 7.5%. This suggests sk...