Iran vows nuclear development, complicating US talks: experts urge caution

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Recent developments in the ongoing Iran nuclear crisis have drawn attention after Iran’s Revolutionary Guard declared that Tehran will continue its nuclear weapons development as long as the U.S. and Israel maintain their nuclear arsenals. This statement has prompted nuclear experts to caution President Trump against allowing Iran to divert focus from its atomic threat during diplomatic talks. The declaration from Iran’s military-security apparatus highlights the regime’s hardline stance, which could complicate negotiations aimed at curbing Iran’s nuclear ambitions. The prediction markets have responded to these developments, with pricing suggesting a decrease in the likelihood of a US-Iran deal that includes reconstruction funding in 2026. The market odds for such a deal have shown slight fluctuations, yet the overall pricing indicates a moderate decline in confidence. This appears consistent with the heightened tensions following the Revolutionary Guard’s statement and the expert warnings, which suggest increased obstacles to achieving a comprehensive agreement. As negotiations continue, key actors including U.S. President Donald Trump and Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif wil...

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