Fed’s Schmid: US labor market stable, inflation above 2% target

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Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid stated that the U.S. labor market appears “roughly stable,” suggesting a balanced job market despite signs of cooling. Schmid emphasized the persistence of inflation, which remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, currently hovering near 3%. He argued for increased transparency within the Fed and a focus on controlling inflation, aligning with his previous dissent against a 25-basis-point rate cut in September 2025. Schmid’s comments come as the unemployment rate holds steady around 4.3–4.4%, and he remains cautious about easing policy further.

Key Takeaways

  • Schmid’s remarks suggest a stable labor market, consistent with a cautious approach to monetary policy adjustments.
  • Inflation persistence above the Fed’s target may indicate support for maintaining or increasing interest rates.
  • Schmid’s call for more Fed transparency aligns with his stance on prioritizing inflation control.

What to Watch

Federal Reserve meetings in the coming months will be critical, particularly the September 2026 meeting, where market participants currently price a 32.5% chance of a rate hike. Developments in inflation and employment data will be key indicators for future monetary policy decisions. Jerome Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee’s statements and actions will be closely monitored for any shift in policy direction, which could impact market expectations significantly.

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Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.

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