Anthropic staff expect AI to handle 75% of their work by 2030

The people building advanced AI think it will take over most of their jobs within a few years. The rest of the country is considerably less convinced. Anthropic staff expect AI to do 75% of their work by 2030. US workers put that figure at 28%. That is a big disagreement about the same technology, and only one side writes the code. The findings come from Anthropic’s report, “The AI Expectations Gap,” published on October 16, 2026. It compares how the company’s own employees see AI’s trajectory with how the general public sees it. The numbers behind the gap Anthropic surveyed 1,334 of its staff members internally in August 2026. It then set their answers against responses from US adults. The headline split is the 75% versus 28% figure on how much work AI will handle by 2030. More than half of Anthropic employees expect at least 80% of their tasks to be automated. Among the broader US workforce, just 5% share that view. Some 91% of Anthropic staff believe AI will produce a Nobel-level discovery by 2030. Only 39% of US adults agree. Anthropic staff predict US unemployment will exceed 12% by 2030. The general public forecasts something near 8%. On growth, the median expectation among A...