$21B raised year-to-date in Bitcoin bear market signals industry maturation

Bitcoin is down roughly 50% from its October 2025 peak above $126K, trading somewhere in the $60K to $80K range through mid-2026. By most definitions, that qualifies as a bear market. And yet the venture capital spigot hasn’t turned off. It’s barely even dripped. Approximately $21 billion has been raised across crypto and blockchain ventures year-to-date, a figure that mirrors the $21.1 billion to $21.9 billion raised across all of 2025. The money is still flowing. It just looks different this time around. Where the money is actually going The first half of 2026 saw roughly $11.1 billion deployed across 467 deals. Q2 alone accounted for $12.86 billion in transactions, suggesting a sharp acceleration in deal-making even as Bitcoin’s price chart continued to flatline. Capital is clustering around stablecoins, payments infrastructure, and prediction markets. Polymarket, the prediction market platform that became a household name during the 2024 US election cycle, reportedly raised $1 billion at a $21 billion valuation. Kalshi, its regulated competitor, has also attracted over $1 billion in funding. The overall deal count has declined compared to the frenzy of prior bull cycles, which ...